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re: CFB bets BOWL SEASON!

Posted on 12/12/11 at 12:03 pm to
Posted by jdutto3
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2006
728 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 12:03 pm to
And congrats on those who had the Navy under! I was sweating it out with you early in the third at 21-21.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 12:04 pm to
I like the under in gt game and if game as well
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41905 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Now what?


hmm there used to be a cashier check option.... get on the chat and see what the hell is going on
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 2:17 pm to
alright guys here are my initial leans and games i like

first off already bet:

O72 in wisconsin oregon game
points points points wisconsin cant stop oregon oregon cant stop wisconsin. i see this needed 1 or 2 scores in the late third early 4th to hit the over

Iowa (small small)

put a small bet here when i hear Jaz Reynolds was out

Now to the leans and possible plays:


Over In Boise ASU game

ASU 109 passing D ASU has good Offense just see alot of points here. on the game its either Boise or no play IMO

Marshall
- Really like marshall here maybe a money line play small

Texas

Texas will run all over Cal and Texas D has actually been really good dont see Cal doing a ton in this game

N'Western

I love the points here i may even do a small money line bet on Nwestern here. TAMU is bad and has nothing to play for and dont have a coach

UNDER in GA tech Utah

Utes have a good D and GAtech isnt the same in bowl games. dont see many points here

Vandy

Vandy is one of my favorite plays. Great secondary and lil discount double check is really playing well. I see vandy rolling here

Auburn

SEC thats about all i got here. Out athlete UVA by alot

UGA

UGA will roll SEC SEC! UGA's solid D will force cousins to make plays and i dont see that happening against this D. I see UGA handling this game by 2+ scores

South Carolina

The difference in this game will be USCe Dline speed. Martinez will not be able to get out and make plays with his feet. Shaw will be able to make plays against Neb D

OKST

I lean them here but not a huge confident pick by me. I like the over alot here as i do see either team stopping the other. i look for a game in the hugh 30's+

Michigan

Hokemania! i just dont see VT being able to hang with denard and Michigan will make more plays. dont see this being a huge blow out but really like Michigan to cover somewhat with ease

Clemson

Healthy boyd and watkins = game over
Its easier to prepare to WV because all they do is throw so you dont need to really worry about run stop as much as reading and jumping screens and i see clemson playing well here. One of my higher plays

Pitt

Pitts d will get it done here. small bet nothing big. bet for action

Miss ST

Love miss state here. they will pound WF and it wont even be close.. one of my biggest plays

LSU

Of course im taking LSU here. tough game but i trust les with my unborn son in a game when he has 30+days to prepare. Think LSU has huge advantage in Sp Teams and game planning


More to come later if you want to know more of my reasoning behind a game just ask i wont get mad and will give my opinion. theres still alot that needs to go into these games for me but at the moment really like the card i have
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42401 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 2:23 pm to
Tebow
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 3:04 pm to
As always thanks for the love and support okie!


Eta:

Anything u like a lot or disagree with there?
This post was edited on 12/12/11 at 3:18 pm
Posted by jdutto3
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2006
728 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 3:33 pm to
LINK

Twitter superstar @So_Money_Sports, an avid handicapper who used to work for a popular offshore sportsbook

Q: I’m curious what your approach is to betting on bowl games. Do you look at statistical analysis, coaching and motivational angles? Also, does having more or less upperclassmen help or hurt a team?

A: From a statistical standpoint, I don’t go very in-depth at all. At this point I know who/what teams are and they won’t change. The biggest element for me in analyzing bowl games is motivation. Some teams are pissed that they’re playing in a certain bowl, some teams are depressed, and some teams just don’t care. Beat writers are an incredible resource in determining motivation. I STRONGLY recommend reading the local papers when studying games.

Coaching/preparation is also important to me, especially if a team has a new coaching staff or one that is clearly on their way out. I don’t make it a basis for a bet, but I like to look for reasons to fade a coach on the way out under the assumption that he is probably looking at recruiting for his next gig as opposed to making a game plan for the game at hand. I look to play a young team with a firmly-entrenched coach under the assumption that the kids are playing for their jobs for next season and this is their audition for a coach who will make that decision.

I also like to play a senior-laden team that won’t have many NFL players under the assumption that they will give it their all due to the possible fact that it may be their last football game before moving on with life. In this case, I think the coaches will construct a game-plan giving these kids the best chance to win. Conversely, I look to fade a senior-laden team that will have a lot of NFL players under the assumption that they will be looking to protect their future contracts. From a coaching/preparation standpoint, I don’t think coaches would put the players in positions that would hinder their future prospects in any way.

Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 3:38 pm to
It brings a tear to my eye to see all the @so_money_sports love being thrown around here these days...



I've gotten to the point that my only big plays are his and I put small plays in for personal entertainment.
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 3:46 pm to
Great analysis tebow, probably tailing you for the whole bowl season lol
Posted by jdutto3
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2006
728 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 3:47 pm to
I am relitavely new to so_money_sports. I have never followed or faded but I always take his opinion under consideration. My ear is always open to anyone trying to teach and not sell.

Are there any sports/conferences where you auto follow?
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42401 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 3:54 pm to
At first glance only one I don't like is picking Iowa over OU.

I'll dig deeper from my laptop...
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 4:09 pm to
I put a couple hundred bucks on every single play he puts in and my bankroll has done nothing but increase over time. He's hitting at around 74% since I started tailing all his plays in late September. He's on an 11 for 12 run currently. From what I understand he's hitting just over 72% for all of the plays he's ever posted on twitter. That's a percentage no one gets near. He's got great sources in NCAAF, NFL, NHL and CBB. Also heard he hits MLB and NBA at a decent clip but not his area of expertise...
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 5:05 pm to
The Iowa OU play is and will be my smallest play of bowl season. OU doesn't want to be there had BCS dreams coming in to the season and now are in a shite bowl. Iowa always comes to play in bowl season. Landry jones did not throw a TD since broyles went out and now no jaz.

I don't love the play but I think it's the right one. I agree it's a tough play
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42401 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 7:23 pm to
When do you play to actually bet Tebow and will you post the bets you actually make (and not just leans)?
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/12/11 at 7:49 pm to
Ummm I'll probably bet a few Wednesday and then bet most on gameday.

I will post my play in line here and keep a running track in my reserved spot on the first page of this thread...... He'll I may make my own thread
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42401 posts
Posted on 12/13/11 at 7:45 am to
quote:

Hell I may make my own thread


TTT GON BE MAD



Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26745 posts
Posted on 12/13/11 at 8:12 am to
I think Oklahoma State is going to beat Stanford by a healthy margin. I'm thinking 45-21 or so.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82195 posts
Posted on 12/13/11 at 8:58 am to
quote:

TTT GON BE MAD

Muthafrick





I dont mind, lets clutter the MSB when bowl season starts
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/13/11 at 11:54 am to
These bowls need to start!!!!!!!
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82195 posts
Posted on 12/13/11 at 11:58 am to
Same. My goal is to be up 75 units after bowl season. That would be my 2nd most successful season to date.
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