re: Basketball Bet Thread 12/15

I've found that lately in NCAA that when I bet big names based on site (aka square-ish plays) I do better than when I run a bunch of statistics on small college games (trying to be sharp).

Bet what you know, I guess.

My NBA picks are all based on match-ups and statistics. I just don't have time to do as much analysis when there's hundreds of teams in NCAA

And I don't mean to be rude but I saw a lot of sharps on the Bobcats tonight and I don't know how anyone in their right mind would bet money that the Bobcats win a game straight-up. Betting them as double-digit dogs, sure. But to win a fricking game, are you kidding me? I learned my lesson when they lost a 20 point 4th quarter lead at home against the Blazers when I was on them, but I guess it's "sharp" to bet stupid shite and say 'hey, look at me' when the dumbass play works every now and then.

But to be fair, if there's one team I have a pulse on it's the Magic. I think I'm 6-1 betting their games (on or against them).

drunk and rambling, gonna stop posting. GL guys

quote:

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Are they normally this bitchy?

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Yep
It's literally like this every game there (as far as their reactions to everything)

frick Florida

Worst fricking moose job ever. I'm done until after the new year. frick Florida. How the frickity frick do you blow a fricking 6 point lead with a minute to go.

But Creighton...

Creighton

Full game plays go 3-0. 5 star systems plays go 4-1. Below is how the whole system went. I only bet on the plays that were picked by both formulas (the 4-1 I mentioned above).

Formula 1's 2 star plays: 3-8 tonight. 11-10 (.524) YTD.
Warriors 4Q +1.5 WIN
Heat 1Q -4.5 WIN
Nets 2Q +1.5 LOSS
Nets 1H +2.5 LOSS
In-game add: Bulls 2H -1 LOSS
TWolves 1Q -1.5 LOSS
Bucks 1Q +1.5 LOSS
Bucks 2Q +1.5 LOSS
Bucks 1H +2.5 LOSS
In-game add: Clippers 2H +2.5 WIN
Jazz 4Q -.5 LOSS
Formula 1's 3 star plays: 1-1 tonight. 2-2-1 (.500) YTD.
Bulls 3Q -1.5 LOSS
Clippers 4Q -1 WIN
Formula 1 goes 4-9 tonight. 13-12-1 (.520) YTD.

Formula 2's 2 star plays: 10-5 tonight. 19-9 (.679) YTD.
Warriors 4Q +1.5 WIN
Knicks 1H -6.5 LOSS
Cavs 3Q +3 WIN
In-game add: Cavs 2H +6 WIN
Heat 1Q -4.5 WIN
Heat 1H -8.5 WIN
Wizards 4Q +2.5 WIN
Bucks 1H +2.5 LOSS
Clippers 4Q -1 WIN
In-game add: Clippers 2H +2.5 WIN
Celtics 1H +5.5 WIN
Spurs 4Q -2 WIN
Grizzlies 2Q +.5 LOSS
Grizzlies 1H +1 LOSS
In-game add: Jazz 2H +2 LOSS
Formula 2's 3 star plays: 0-1 tonight. 0-3 (.000) YTD.
Hawks 2Q -1.5 LOSS
Formula 2's 4 star plays: 0-0 tonight. 2-0 (1.000) YTD.
- none tonight -
Formula 2 goes 10-6 tonight. 21-12 (.636) YTD.

Combined Formula Summary:
2 star plays go 13-13 tonight. 30-19 (.612) YTD.
3 star plays go 1-2 tonight. 2-5-1 (.286) YTD.
4 star plays go 0-0 tonight. 2-0 (1.000) YTD.
5 star plays (those italicized, picked by both formulas) go 4-1 tonight. 7-2 (.778) YTD.

Combined Formulas go 14-15 tonight. 34-24-1 (.586) YTD.