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re: Will the fed hike and how much?
Posted on 3/20/23 at 5:08 am to wutangfinancial
Posted on 3/20/23 at 5:08 am to wutangfinancial
quote:
Doesn’t matter they’re not in charge they’ll be cutting rates in a matter of months
This.
There's been an incredible shift in the interest rate futures ever since the bank failures.
It really doesn't matter what the Fed does this week. They will likely hike .25, but will be cutting in the near future.
Bonds and commodities are pricing in recession a lot sooner than previously expected.
Posted on 3/20/23 at 6:52 am to UltimaParadox
quote:
SVB, SI, and SBNY are pretty unique as they did not diversify like most banks.
Not strictly a diversification issue, just a series of stupid decisions by management.
Econ 101. Money supply increases, so does the chance of inflation. They ignored that lesson and went long on bonds when rates were at historically low and money supply being juiced.
Many banks/credit unions did the same, on the advice of lots of brokers and advisors, who said rates won’t go up as low rates are the new norm.
Posted on 3/20/23 at 11:24 am to JimMorrison
quote:
a lot sooner than previously expected.
Curves all around the world have been inverted since like last February

Posted on 3/20/23 at 7:53 pm to wutangfinancial
So you don't think they will stop hiking?
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