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Trend Trading Candidates

Posted on 5/6/26 at 9:22 pm
Posted by DD_Rolltide
Member since Oct 2024
998 posts
Posted on 5/6/26 at 9:22 pm
Hello folks, been trading for a while now and thought it might be a good idea to have a thread for the short-term trend/swing traders who are watching stocks and typically open and close a position within a week or two.

My strategy has been to focus on stocks which are in long-term stage 2 (Weinstein) which are recently coming off a short-term pull back on low or declining volume.

What I typically do is to enter the stock and set a sell order immediately for half my position at my R1 (Resistance) level and then manage stops (moving up stop losses) on the remainder of the position until I get stopped out.

This week I'm looking at a few stocks like LFST, CGEN, and TARA. I'll focus on TARA for this post:

TARA - 1 year


Daily shows a successful test of recent swing low with reasonable risk/reward entry point.

TARA - 5 day shows healthy up trend with higher highs and higher lows.



50% profit taking at 6.15, then adjust stops accordingly. Would love to hear other TA's thoughts or candidates for the week, especially during earnings season.

This post was edited on 5/6/26 at 9:29 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24578 posts
Posted on 5/6/26 at 10:48 pm to
I appreciate you putting this together.
After watching Nebius for nearly 18 months I’m pretty convinced of Elliott wave theory now.

But I’m simple still. In other words, the chart on OUST is a breakout candidate as it has held the 20 day EMA several times over the last 2-3 weeks.
Additionally, the 20 now sits just above the 200 day…

A wave 5 run could see 50% or more to 45+

Earnings flush occurred yesterday, still held 20 and 200 day averages, and even finished moderately green on the day. Rev8 news is also super bullish for the coming quarters. Fantastic setup.

Posted by DD_Rolltide
Member since Oct 2024
998 posts
Posted on 5/6/26 at 11:00 pm to
Looks like a promising setup, but risk reward is a bit much for me now, with a clear stop below 25 (that's giving well over 10% risk) and R1 being clearly around 31.75 (giving less than 10%).

Bounce today on high volume though looks great. If I were to buy it would be on a breakout of 30, but man with all the volume over the last two days, there's gonna be a big move one way or the other. I would guess the other (down).
Posted by iPad
Find Me At An Apple Store Near You
Member since Nov 2025
898 posts
Posted on 5/7/26 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

I would guess the other (down).

You are correct. -15% today
Posted by DD_Rolltide
Member since Oct 2024
998 posts
Posted on 5/7/26 at 9:41 pm to
Pretty good day today, LFST popped, TARA disappointed but not stopped out...yet. CGEN moving healthily upwards, stop in place now to break-even. Took profits on LFST at 8.30 (got stopped out mid morning).

For tomorrow I'm looking at very carefully entering IOVA after a terrible day today due to missed revenue on earnings. Late in the day it tried to form a base around 3.50. Going to watch it closely for a bounce back, I'll enter it under two conditions. 1 it breaks through 3.60 on high volume. 2 it drops to 3.40 on declining volume. If my entry is 3.60 (momentum trade) I will set a very tight stop at 3.45. If it declines on declining volume and I enter at 3.40 (swing trade) I'll set a stop at 3.20. Either way I will take profits with half my position at 3.85 and let the other half run. Here's the 5-day showing the attempted base building at 3.50:



And the daily showing the pull back from recent swing high:



If the earnings disappointment was too much I'll lose ~5% either way with potential gain of 10% or more.
This post was edited on 5/7/26 at 11:16 pm
Posted by AUtigerNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 5/8/26 at 4:25 am to
What are you using to identify/scan for the stock picks/candidates in stage 2?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24578 posts
Posted on 5/8/26 at 5:02 am to
quote:

You are correct. -15% today
I’m shocked by this, but I will begrudgingly give praise.

frick!!
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