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Thoughts about airline stock?

Posted on 3/23/20 at 3:11 pm
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
17451 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 3:11 pm
I have been watching American Airlines and it closed at $10.25. We know the Government is going to bail them out, so what are your thoughts on getting into airlines while they are cheap.
Posted by BlindTiger7
Houston
Member since Sep 2016
2679 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 3:20 pm to
If you have extra cash, yes
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 3:20 pm to
I'm staying away from airline stocks as tempting as they may seem.

American Airlines in particular seems like a mismanaged trainwreck the more you research it. It recently disclosed that it has $7.3 billion in liquidity but also has $24 billion in debt (highest among U.S. carriers relative to underlying profits). A government bailout might be a short term fix but I don't see this stock rebounding like others and AA could still be headed for bankruptcy in the next few years.
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26575 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 3:30 pm to
A bailout does not mean there isn’t an equity wipeout. Several public companies trading today have gone to 0 before.
Posted by Drew Orleans
Member since Mar 2010
21577 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 3:42 pm to
Bought some FedEx this morning.
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16157 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

American Airlines in particular seems like a mismanaged trainwreck the more you research it.


This. If you want to go the airline route, AAL is the last one I would touch.
Posted by Tri City Tigers
Member since Oct 2018
2343 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 5:55 pm to
Delta, Southwest, Alaska, and JetBlue have the best cash to debt ratios. American is by far the worst.
This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 5:58 pm
Posted by LSUTigers00884
Lafayette
Member since Oct 2011
1160 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 6:07 pm to
This is not true. Delta has a very bad cash position
Posted by Barrister
Member since Jul 2012
4606 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 6:36 pm to
I predict Delta comes out of this a much different airline. I see it scaling back.

The most likely carrier to step in to fill that void? Southwest.

Buy LUV
Posted by Huge Richard
Member since Dec 2018
3742 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 6:43 pm to
I don’t really buy that people will stop traveling. Maybe demand will be light at first, but it will return to normal.
Posted by Huge Richard
Member since Dec 2018
3742 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 8:36 pm to
Saw this tweet floating around
quote:

Zoom 2019 market cap: $18.8B Airlines 2019 market cap: $78.1B Zoom current market cap: $44.5B Airlines current market cap: $27.0B Note: Airlines includes Delta, United, American and Jet Blue.

quote:

FWIW, Airlines current enterprise value is $88.3B. (Not investment advice etc.)


LINK
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16157 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

Delta, Southwest, Alaska, and JetBlue have the best cash to debt ratios. American is by far the worst.


You're missing Spirit baw. They surprisingly have the best in the industry.

Delta not so much.
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 5:27 am to
Delta has the best product in the industry followed by Southwest and JetBlue. American has the most debt in the industry and will likely declare chapter 11 sometime within the next calendar year. Spirit is pretty decent.
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