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Rate Hikes
Posted on 1/13/22 at 1:52 pm
Posted on 1/13/22 at 1:52 pm
My brother has been listening to Peter Schiff podcast and is convinced that once the first ~50bp rate hike by the fed occurs in April that the entire balloon of the stock market will be popped. I have tried to convinced him otherwise and feel that reaching 2% rate by YE23 is gradual enough that most companies liquidity will not be affected and while it will slow the market to single digit growth over the next 12 months nothing will be "popped". However, if the fed decides to raise rates to a level that could actually be effective against inflation than that is a different story.
Any thoughts? Is everyone liquidating their portfolio at the first rate hike following Peter Schiff's advice?
Any thoughts? Is everyone liquidating their portfolio at the first rate hike following Peter Schiff's advice?
3
Posted on 1/13/22 at 1:54 pm to Mootsman
quote:
Is everyone liquidating their portfolio
This isn’t how true long term investing works.
Posted on 1/13/22 at 2:51 pm to Mootsman
Peter Schiff is an extremely smart dude who has predicted 7,312 out of the last 2 crashes. No harm in taking some risk off the table within 3% of all time highs though...
This is going to get hairy before it gets fixed. Anyone that says they know what's going to happen tomorrow in the market is predicting and that's a fool's game.
This is going to get hairy before it gets fixed. Anyone that says they know what's going to happen tomorrow in the market is predicting and that's a fool's game.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 6:40 am to Mootsman
Simply hedge with a rate product. Pretty easy and some of the hedge products compound very rapidly if the rate train starts aggressively rolling.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 2:16 pm to KillTheGophers
I have been looking at industrials ETFs to try and hedge against rate hikes. Evidently they hold value during increased rate environments.
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