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re: Quantum computing

Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:15 pm to
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

I personally would wait until $4-5 to get back in.



You won't ever see that in RGTI again. All of these will be back to yesterday's prices within a month or two. Watch. The hype is too strong amongst them and their market cap is too low to not return.
This post was edited on 1/8/25 at 4:24 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

He's not wrong, it's a giant scam. The same people pumping these turds were the ones behind all the shite coins of yesteryear. Look how all those turned out.


People like you never make big gains in the stock market because of this exact mindset. People said same thing about NVDA, about the Internet, about TVs, about Tesla, about home ownership of computers. Many like you said "There simply isn't a market for computers in people's homes" lol. That's a multi-trillion industry. Copy, paste, what you said. Same about bitcoin even though it won't have near the use that quantum provides. The dollar doesn't really need replacement.

It would not be getting the hype that it is if it would never pan out. BCG and McKinsey say $100 billion revenue industry by 2035. Industries like this get a 30x revenue to market cap ratio for their growth. That's a $3 trillion market cap by 20235 of the quantum industry in whole.

Still believe this is like buying Nvidia in 2010.
This post was edited on 1/8/25 at 4:23 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:20 pm to
Here's another article I love to show doubters. It's from 2016, title "NVDA, take the money and run, DO IT YESTERDAY"

Industries like this don't get this kind of hype for nothing. I have never seen an industry get hype like this and fail to pan out. Ever. This is AI, Internet Boom, bigger than EV, Bitcoin, TV, computer in 90s, in all their infancy stages level hype.

LINK
This post was edited on 1/8/25 at 4:22 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89380 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

You won't ever see that in RGTI again.


Bet.
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:26 pm to
Hype is too strong. The potential of quantum alone even with no revenue won't let it happen.

So far Quantum has been getting the same hype as computers in the late 80s, as Tesla 2014, as Internet in late 90s, as Nvidia early 2010s.

I can't remember last time an industry this hyped didn't pan out.
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

You won't ever see that in RGTI again.


Bet.


Reason you won't see it, is that $5 implies a $1 billion market cap. There are more than enough believers out there, that I doubt it only has 1 billion dollar worth of investment in it out there.
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:36 pm to
Quantum computing poses a large threat to NVDA. That's the genesis of his comments. That and he probably doesnt like QC stocks 10xing while his has stayed stagnant for 6 months.

LINK /
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89380 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Here's another article I love to show doubters. It's from 2016, title "NVDA, take the money and run, DO IT YESTERDAY"


2 years later from the date of that article NVDA was only up about 4% cumulatively.

You also brought up NVDA in 2010, which was a profitable company the year before the Great Recession.

RGTI is none of those things. Trying to say it’s like buying NVDA way back when is absolute garbage and pure speculation. Nvidia went public with $370 million in revenue. RGTI has $7 million.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89380 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

can't remember last time an industry this hyped didn't pan out.


5g
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 5:59 pm to
BCG and McK, best in the business, project $100 bil revenue by 2035 to 2040. They have reports on QC industry. Industries growing like that in tech, get a conceivable 30x market cap to revenue ratio. NVDA had a 30x for a while. Thatd imply a $3 trillion market cap by 2035 to 2040 for quantum stocks. How it will spread out depends on what company gets control over the market.

There's just very little chance in my opinion, this just fails. If you actually read the tech on it, it's impressive. It solved in 5 minutes what the best CPU on earth would take septillion years. Google's Willow QPU.

The universe hasn't even been around 1 trillionth of Septillion years. So imagine over 1 trillion times how long the universe is estimated to be. That's how long this best CPU would take to solve what a Quantum computer took 5 minutes. You simply can't put 2024 revenue multiples on something like this.

RGTI's product doesn't have as much revenue as IONQ because it is more advanced than IONQ. Their QC solves problems at 1,000x the speed of IONQ. IONQ is more off the shelf ready today than RGTI.

RGTI, IONQ these stocks will go up and down. In 10 years, I would be very surprised if there are even 5 stocks in entire market that make more gains than them.
This post was edited on 1/8/25 at 6:03 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6341 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 6:52 pm to
Checkout JOBY and ACHR. $8 billion market cap on JOBY and hasn't made a single cent. It's basically helicopter Uber.

If that gets $8 bil, no reason an industry with exponential more potential like RGTI couldn't get to $8 bil sometime 2025 when it already has 8 figure revenue and stands to be much bigger than Helicopter Uber.
This post was edited on 1/8/25 at 7:03 pm
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
10187 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

In 10 years, I would be very surprised if there are even 5 stocks in entire market that make more gains than them.

In other words they’ll blow up ?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89380 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

Checkout JOBY and ACHR. $8 billion market cap on JOBY and hasn't made a single cent. It's basically helicopter Uber. If that gets $8 bil, no reason an industry with exponential more potential like RGTI couldn't get to $8 bil sometime 2025 when it already has 8 figure revenue and stands to be much bigger than Helicopter Uber.


I appreciate your enthusiasm but I think you’re wildly overestimating things.

Pointing out other overvalued stocks doesn’t help your cause.

Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
3577 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 8:28 pm to
quote:

Still believe this is like buying Nvidia in 2010.


That’s pretty myopic. Everyone uses Nvidia 2010 as the starting line. The company would’ve been bankrupt five years earlier if Sony hadn’t tossed them a lifeline.

Hell, most people would've flipped a coin if asked to choose the winner between nvidia, intel, or AMD 15 years ago.


Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77237 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 10:06 pm to
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
3901 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 11:36 am to
I had NVDA IPO, I know what I'm talking about when it comes to IT. This technology is useless.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89380 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 8:09 am to
quote:

Hype is too strong. The potential of quantum alone even with no revenue won't let it happen.


Nearing 7.5 per share in RGTI. Still sure $5 or lower can’t happen?
This post was edited on 1/13/25 at 10:20 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21061 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 8:20 am to
quote:

Bearing 7.5 per share in RGTI. Still sure $5 or lower can’t happen?

I'll be tempted to duplicate my original investment of 1,000 shares if it gets back to around 3.50

Originally I was in at 2.89
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45006 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 11:38 am to
congrats to all quantum dip buyers
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21061 posts
Posted on 1/15/25 at 7:58 pm to
I May exclusively day trade RGTI, even if it means $10-20 profits
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