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Now is not the time for fear in the stock market

Posted on 11/8/12 at 9:45 am
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7915 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 9:45 am
I'm thinking we are about to have a very nice move to the upside.

The fear mongering points to Obama. I point to Benny having started printing 40 billion a month 1.5 months ago.

Areas I like are Tech (SMH), energy, real estate (XHB, LEN, HD, TOL), and commodities (GLD, GRU, PPLT, etc.)

I should add that the ones in () are my favorites. I own some but not all.
This post was edited on 11/8/12 at 9:53 am
Posted by Gujam8
Member since Jun 2010
2361 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 9:48 am to
AAPL keeps going down...
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7915 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 9:51 am to
A lot of Apple corrections in the past have declined 15 to 20%. Apple is currently down 22% from its 700+ high. Apple does need to put in a bottom soon or that would be worrisome.
Posted by Gujam8
Member since Jun 2010
2361 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 9:54 am to
Needs to hold $550.

I look at the fundamentals and I really don't understand why this stock is down 22%. The valuations justify a $1,000 stock.
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7915 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 9:59 am to
quote:

I really don't understand why this stock is down 22%.


I think you have a lot of people are taking profits to only have 15% on long term capital gains tax instead of the likely 20% (plus 3.8% for Obama care) long term capital gains that could possibly start in 2013.

I think that's a mistake, as I agree Apple still has potential to head towards 1,000.
Posted by Larry Hollins
Member since Jul 2009
1545 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 10:45 am to
Apple was over owned by too many hedge funds and big players. they need to trim position back to a market weight. when Apple produces EPS that beat street, then they will rush in to over weight the stock again and push it up substantially. until then, at a minimum, be careful.
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
7915 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 10:52 am to
quote:

be careful


Agree. Anything with apple at this point should be viewed as a trade, not a long term investment.

I had about 100 shares for a few weeks and took the profits in April 2009.
Posted by Gujam8
Member since Jun 2010
2361 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 11:17 am to
quote:

took the profits in April 2009.


Missed out on a huge run up then..
Posted by LSUTOM07
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
765 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 12:34 pm to
Is nobody looking at the fiscal cliff that may be reached at the end of December? Even if decisions are made to avoid it, I believe stocks will still decline a bit due to uncertainty and fear before it goes up.
Posted by Jed Zeppelin
Maurice
Member since Feb 2010
1049 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

Needs to hold $550.


Blew right through it Guj. I am going to part with my last ones if it goes to 500. I will buy back maybe mid December if it falls some more.
Posted by WhalingVessel
Member since Dec 2008
245 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 2:15 pm to
If you (anyone) did not currently have any apple shares at what price would you jump in at?

I'm in my mid twenties and don't own any stand alone stocks.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 11/8/12 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

AAPL keeps going down


AAPL died with Steve Jobs. It's been a zombie since then and it is becoming apparent to the rest of the world now.
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