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Message
Bond fund performance for 2025
Posted on 11/11/24 at 12:58 pm
Posted on 11/11/24 at 12:58 pm
Thoughts on bond performance over the next year? I think we will likely see another fed rate drop or two, but predicting more than 3 or 4 months out is sketchy. It is also hard to know how much of the Trump campaigning talk will come to fruition. I expect inflation to start slowly increasing, maybe by Q2 of next year. I am considering moving some money out of bonds and am looking for opinions.
Here is some context. I semi-retired about 8 years ago and moved a bit of money to a bond fund that models the US aggregate bond index. Prior to this I had seldom placed much money into bonds as I am fairly risk tolerant. I decided to move to a more traditional mix based on age. I am about 40% bond, 60% stocks. My total assets are about 50% real estate, so about 20% of my assets are bonds. I am generally not using my 401/IRA money yet. My income comes from real estate investments and will continue for another 5 years or so until I really retire. I retired from my day job, but only consider myself semi-retired because of how much time I spend in real estate investing (buying and selling property, new construction).
I review my investments regularly but don't actually rebalance often; maybe every couple of years. I am considering a rebalance soon by reducing the amount in bonds. Thoughts?
Here is some context. I semi-retired about 8 years ago and moved a bit of money to a bond fund that models the US aggregate bond index. Prior to this I had seldom placed much money into bonds as I am fairly risk tolerant. I decided to move to a more traditional mix based on age. I am about 40% bond, 60% stocks. My total assets are about 50% real estate, so about 20% of my assets are bonds. I am generally not using my 401/IRA money yet. My income comes from real estate investments and will continue for another 5 years or so until I really retire. I retired from my day job, but only consider myself semi-retired because of how much time I spend in real estate investing (buying and selling property, new construction).
I review my investments regularly but don't actually rebalance often; maybe every couple of years. I am considering a rebalance soon by reducing the amount in bonds. Thoughts?
Posted on 11/11/24 at 2:29 pm to KWL85
What are you thinking about buying with the proceeds? After all, it’s all relative.
Posted on 11/11/24 at 7:21 pm to slackster
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/11/24 at 7:22 pm
Posted on 11/12/24 at 9:09 am to slackster
100% correct.
Russell1000. It is my largest holding in my 401k, and I would add to it.
Russell1000. It is my largest holding in my 401k, and I would add to it.
Posted on 11/12/24 at 11:08 am to KWL85
i work in the bond market, when i'm adding exposure i do it in longer duration funds....TLT or Pimco long duration index...bigger price return....the aggregate is much shorter
Posted on 11/12/24 at 5:20 pm to hubreb
Understood. This is in a 401 plan. Bond fund is my only choice. I don't think my plan has a fund that is only long term bonds. I am in the total bond aggregate fund. Any thoughts on performance for the next year?
Posted on 11/13/24 at 9:30 am to KWL85
if the economy picks up with trump in office - rate probably hold steady and it will be flat / any negative shock to economy and it will perform well
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