re: Worst Possible Situation...If Arkansas beats LSU?

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so the only way arky gets in the SEC Championship Game, even with a win against LSU, is if LSU stays ahead of alabama in the BCS rankings after losing to arkansas.

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Nope. IF LSU LOSES TO ARKY:

and still manages to stay ahead of Arkansas in the rankings, then LSU has the tiebreaker of 'Bama.

Keep in mind, pollsters will be looking at the collective group of 'Bama, Arky, and LSU, and how to rank them since their is no clear-cut winner between them. They may look at strength of schedule to determine the winner.

Also, Arky is 8th in the polls. At least two teams in front of them WILL lose because of the OK/OSU and Stan/OR games. Therefore, they are the defacto 6th rated team. It could very well happen that LSU doesn't drop past Arky and the tiebreaker gets applied to 'Bama and LSU.

Another scenario would be what if OSU and Stanford both lose? Then the 3 SEC teams might be the top 3 teams (again, given Arky beating LSU)- provided human polls continue to dismiss BSU. In that case, I think people will probably put LSU ahead of Arky simply because of SOS.