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re: What are our chances of beating Bama tonight ?

Posted on 1/27/24 at 4:55 pm to
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
14502 posts
Posted on 1/27/24 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

The key will be for the Tigers to hold them under 35%


That has not been the problem all year. We've done that.

What was different was.....for a small stretch for the first time in CMM's tenure, starting with A&M there was about a 4 game stretch where we flipped the script and were rebounding
at a rate that was really hard to believe cause we'd never come close to it before.

Then the A&M rematch we regressed back to mean.

So I think it's pretty simple. If we summon up the 4-game stretch where we found something in our souls where we overachieved on the boards we have a shot. If we don't we won't.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
14502 posts
Posted on 1/27/24 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

Wright has to be on fire the whole game - possible


Possible but not probable.

quote:

Ward has to produce higher than normal - not likely


If he plays I actually thing it's more likely that Wright being of fire the whole game.

quote:

Our 2 white breads have to play really big and give us points and offensive rebounds - maybe, but not likely


If even one of them does this we have a shot - but I have very little confidence in either playing "really big".

quote:

Cook has to make closer to +40% with 3's


Quit with the turnovers, play more efficiently and limit the hero ball, and try passing a bit more, he had some games where he had some assists early on - he needs to get back to that.

quote:

My guess is a 15 point LSU loss. We're an old team and we should always be somewhat competitive but against better talent and better coaching...it's a LOSS, bad one likely


This is the probable outcome. IMHO if we summon that rebounding bug we found out of the blue for a few games we have a shot, if we don't we won't....for me it's just that simple

Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater
Member since Sep 2015
26183 posts
Posted on 1/27/24 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

our chances of beating Bama tonight

Not good at all. Historically LSU has a worse record at Bama than any of their other SEC opponents, even worse than @ Kentucky. LSU very rarely has won in Coleman, even when they had a strong team
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
99057 posts
Posted on 1/27/24 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

0.0001%


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