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re: The point spread just doesn't seem right?

Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:31 pm to
Posted by lsueddie18
Jacksonville Florida area
Member since Mar 2012
438 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Trust me, I understand what a spread is. I've been betting for years. That doesn't mean that the initial spread wasn't a little light, at least in my opinion

LSU under Miles doesn't cover points way more than they do. Don't believe me? Check the past five years of point spreads. Don't be one bit surprised if we only win by single digits.
Posted by tiger81
Brentwood, TN.
Member since Jan 2008
20914 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 6:06 pm to
31-10 LSU.... Frazier is a turnover machine.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

LSU under Miles doesn't cover points way more than they do.

Someone hasn't bet recently...

Not counting the BCS Title Game last year:
8-1 against the spread in the SEC (didn't cover vs UK)
7-0 against the spread in road/neutral site games

But, hey, let's all just make generalizations about Miles
Posted by MsGarrison
Steele Town LOL
Member since Nov 2009
22355 posts
Posted on 9/18/12 at 9:07 pm to
Remember this is college football.. Upsets are bound to happen..

USC lost to Oregon State not to long ago.
Oklahoma has choked being the top rank team..
Remember LSU losing to UK

Point is, upsets are what make cfb enjoyable and they are bound to happen.

Auburn may well get blown out but stranger things have happened.

WDE!
Posted by Dubaitiger
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Member since Nov 2005
5198 posts
Posted on 9/19/12 at 6:26 am to
To the OP

I have been to the Auburn game in Auburn last 3 times and that is always a great tailgate and fun time. Inside the stadium its good and you just pray the refs will keep the linen in their pocket. I would take a 30-10 game now.
Posted by yankeelover
Member since Sep 2012
629 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 10:09 am to
I used to have a gambling problem but almost went all in to take Auburn. Does Vegas even follow LSU - that we can struggle on offense and game was at a desperate Auburn. We were not likely to get quick D or specual team TD like vs. weaker teams.


It started at 18 1/2 and went up. This was oddest line I ever saw.
Posted by FrozenMonkey
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2011
1123 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 10:43 am to
Anybody care to come back to this thread and say how their "easy money" worked out?
Posted by Dignan
Member since Sep 2005
13265 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 11:35 am to
Mine did. Check halfway down the second page.


Going counterintuitive is usually the way to go. Granted, I was 5/10 for the weekend but 68% on the year.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 11:38 am to
quote:

I used to have a gambling problem but almost went all in to take Auburn. Does Vegas even follow LSU - that we can struggle on offense and game was at a desperate Auburn. We were not likely to get quick D or specual team TD like vs. weaker teams.


It started at 18 1/2 and went up. This was oddest line I ever saw.



So easy to say in hindsight.

I lost some dough on this and I have a very good win % in college football betting. I'm 12 for 16 this year so far. This has been the only one that wasn't close. If Mett doesn't fumble those two times this game is a blowout after the crowd is knocked out of it.
Posted by CalTiger
California
Member since Jan 2004
3997 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 11:57 am to
quote:

If Mett doesn't fumble those two times this game is a blowout after the crowd is knocked out of it.


The year 2037 -NFL HOF Zach Mettenberger stuns the media with disclosure of his betting pranks during his college days at LSU - " I knew that we would easily win the title both years - I had a bet with Coach Miles and the team that I would fumble and throw INTs at random times and challenge the D to get back the ball".

The bet each time was that the loser would have to post ridiculous statements on a popular LSU internet message board.
Posted by Tegre
Baton Rouge, La.
Member since Jan 2008
1226 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

if we dont cover 18 ill let someone kick me in the nuts


Hey Red where can we meet for me to deliver that kick?
Posted by FrozenMonkey
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2011
1123 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 1:30 pm to
Can we film it and post it on the rant?
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94567 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

Anybody care to come back to this thread and say how their "easy money" worked out?


I'm not a betting man, particularly on something as important as college football. However, if I were, if I see something like "LSU-Auburn" that's my criteria to take the game off the board.

There's just no money to be made in the series.

Keep this stat in mind if you don't buy that: Curley Hallman, as the LSU head coach was 8 points (properly distributed) from being 2-1 against Auburn.

1 TD or less has decided 16 out of the last 25 games (going back to 1980's 21-17 squeaker in Tiger Stadium).

This post was edited on 9/24/12 at 1:38 pm
Posted by yankeelover
Member since Sep 2012
629 posts
Posted on 9/24/12 at 3:08 pm to
The last couple of years Vegas has been long on LSU a lot.
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