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Pac-12 path to playoffs, LSU recruiting/reputation benefit
Posted on 11/11/19 at 9:43 am
Posted on 11/11/19 at 9:43 am
After this big win, I confidently believe LSU will be significantly favored on a neutral field over #4 Bama (screw the Tua <100% narrative). However, for recruiting sake and building our national reputation, it is definitely in LSU's advantage imo if Bama was left out at #5 and we were the reason that they missed the CFP for the first time since its inception. Also, it would be a tremendous recruiting benefit to whip a #4 west coast team and keep these Cali recruits running to us. We've already spanked Texas to help with Big 12/Texas recruiting, and we get them again next season.
For the Pac-12 to make it, I think they are in with a conference championship win from 1 loss Utah or 1 loss Oregon. The media would love the narrative of the first Pac 12 CFP appearance in 3 years, and Oregon's only loss was the final seconds miracle TD in week 1 against top 10 Auburn.
Looking at the remaining schedule, I think the odds are good that both remain 1 loss leading to the conference championship. Then we have a matchup of ~#5 v #7 in the championship- the winner (especially if oregon) will catapult to #4.
Remaining schedule:
Oregon- Arizona (4-5), @Arizona State (5-4), Oregon St (4-5)
Utah- UCLA (4-5), @Arizona (4-5), Colorado (4-6)
If Oregon and Utah can coast through some sub .500 teams, LSU will have the opportunity to get the BEST possible scenario at recruiting and national recognition by having forced Bama out for the first time, dominating the second ever Pac-12 CFP participant, then having Burrow face off his old team in the championship.
This scenario combined with our recent facility upgrades would vault LSU to #1 destination of 5 star recruits from coast to coast. If we stay focused and play to the best of our potential, we have the chance to become THE dynasty of college football.
Edited Pac 12 CFP history
For the Pac-12 to make it, I think they are in with a conference championship win from 1 loss Utah or 1 loss Oregon. The media would love the narrative of the first Pac 12 CFP appearance in 3 years, and Oregon's only loss was the final seconds miracle TD in week 1 against top 10 Auburn.
Looking at the remaining schedule, I think the odds are good that both remain 1 loss leading to the conference championship. Then we have a matchup of ~#5 v #7 in the championship- the winner (especially if oregon) will catapult to #4.
Remaining schedule:
Oregon- Arizona (4-5), @Arizona State (5-4), Oregon St (4-5)
Utah- UCLA (4-5), @Arizona (4-5), Colorado (4-6)
If Oregon and Utah can coast through some sub .500 teams, LSU will have the opportunity to get the BEST possible scenario at recruiting and national recognition by having forced Bama out for the first time, dominating the second ever Pac-12 CFP participant, then having Burrow face off his old team in the championship.
This scenario combined with our recent facility upgrades would vault LSU to #1 destination of 5 star recruits from coast to coast. If we stay focused and play to the best of our potential, we have the chance to become THE dynasty of college football.
Edited Pac 12 CFP history
This post was edited on 11/11/19 at 10:07 am
Posted on 11/11/19 at 9:55 am to squeege10
Except they won’t be the first PAC-12 playoff participant seeing as Washington made the playoffs a few years back..
This post was edited on 11/11/19 at 9:57 am
Posted on 11/11/19 at 9:58 am to squeege10
I think you are right.
Either the 1 loss Pac-12 Champ or 1 loss Big 12 Champ will get in over a 1 loss Bama. If the committee tried to put Bama in over one of those scenarios, they would be signing their own death certificate. College Football would revolt and scrap the committee.
You can't just go by this eyeball test when there are teams with conference championships, equal records AND equal strength of schedules.
LSU's brand has never been stronger and the College Football world is celebrating with us due to Bama fatigue.
Either the 1 loss Pac-12 Champ or 1 loss Big 12 Champ will get in over a 1 loss Bama. If the committee tried to put Bama in over one of those scenarios, they would be signing their own death certificate. College Football would revolt and scrap the committee.
You can't just go by this eyeball test when there are teams with conference championships, equal records AND equal strength of schedules.
LSU's brand has never been stronger and the College Football world is celebrating with us due to Bama fatigue.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 10:11 am to squeege10
Ducks are going to be AU's biggest fans IF it all lines up.
Beat Mulligumps to knock them out of contention AND prop up their "quality loss" to be over OU/Baylor.
Beat Mulligumps to knock them out of contention AND prop up their "quality loss" to be over OU/Baylor.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:33 pm to I20goon
Oh absolutely. No team has more ability to impact the CFP without a chance of making it than Auburn. Beating Georgia and losing to Bama still might be enough to help Oregon jump in. If Oregon wins out and Auburn beats either Bama or Georgia, it's hard to imagine Oklahoma jumping them given the difference in quality of loss.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:50 pm to LSU$$$
quote:
. If the committee tried to put Bama in over one of those scenarios, they would be signing their own death certificate.
You're missing the point. The committee WANTS to keep Bama out.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:51 pm to squeege10
Winning your conference has little to do with making the playoffs.
Teams with fewer than 1loss have a much better chance.
Teams with fewer than 1loss have a much better chance.
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