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re: Do LSU coaches not use stats? Career sacks: JJ - 78, Lee - 21

Posted on 1/12/12 at 9:45 am to
Posted by Tiger Vision
Mandeville
Member since Jan 2005
3802 posts
Posted on 1/12/12 at 9:45 am to

Jordan Jefferson was sacked 14 times in 100 pass attempts this season. He took a sack on 14% of his pass attempts.

Jarrett Lee was sacked 4 times in 167 pass attempts this season. He took a sack on 2.4% of his pass attempts.

Jordan Jefferson has 2 interceptions in 100 pass attempts. He throws an interception on 2% of his pass attempts.

Jarrett Lee has 3 interceptions on 167 pass attempts. He throws an interception on 1.8% of his pass attempts.

That means that Jordan Jefferson either throws an interception or gets sacked every 6.25 pass attempts

That means that Jarrett Lee either throws an interception or gets sacked every 23.8 pass attempts
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 1/12/12 at 9:47 am to
quote:

That means that Jordan Jefferson either throws an interception or gets sacked every 6.25 pass attempts

That means that Jarrett Lee either throws an interception or gets sacked every 23.8 pass attempts




This stat just shreds the Miles created LIE about JJ.

and it is nothing more than a lie.
Posted by Willie Stroker
Member since Sep 2008
14584 posts
Posted on 1/12/12 at 10:06 am to
quote:

Do LSU coaches not use stats? Career sacks: JJ - 78, Lee - 21


Career sacks only? I think you could have made your case more persuasively with a better effort. Isn't this year's numbers more relevant? They have similar sample sizes and comparable oppoents.

Passing efficiency:
Jefferson - 138.7
Lee - 152.0

Completion percentage:
Jefferson - 61.0%
Lee - 62.3%

TDs per pass attempt:
Jefferson - 6.0%
Lee - 8.4%

Sacks per pass attempt:
Jefferson - 14.0%
Lee - 2.4%

Interceptions per attempt:
Jefferson - 2.0%
Lee - 1.8%

The only statistical advantage I see that favored Jefferson is his running. But Jefferson only averaged 3.5 yds per carry which is the worst among all runners with significant carries. The bottom line is that if we needed a running play, Jefferson was the worst choice. Against Bama, Jefferson was only averaging a yard per carry.

Gametime adjustments certainly indicated that we should have wanted Jefferson to stop running. His running was the worst part of our anemic rushing game. We also needed a spark to our passing game.

The only way to get Jefferson to stop running was to get him out of the game. Coincidentally, that would have also resulted in our best statistical passer for this season getting in the game - creating a reason to be optimistic.


Miles' error was misusing statistics - he and other Tiger fans foolishly focused on less significant stats - Jordan's bowl game numbers during his previous 3 years and compared that to Lee's performance against this opponent this season during 7 pass attempts.

Lee had all season to think about that game. It's safe to say most athletes play their mistakes over again and assess what they could have done differently. Lee didn't even get a chance to show what he learned from his previous experience.


Now, wasn't that more persuasive than simply comparing career stats?
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