1/23/2019 update....

NET: 13 (improved +2 since last week)
KPI: 9 (same as last week)
SOR: 22 (declined -1 since last week)
Average: 15 (same)

KenPom: 23 (+7)
BPI: 35 (+2)
Sagarin: 28 (+5)
Average: 29 (+4)

Quad 1: 2-2
Quad 2: 5-1
Quad 3: 4-0
Quad 4: 3-0

Takeaways on resume entering tonights UGA matchup:
1) the Predicitve Metrics (KenPom, Sagarin, BPI) are now catching up to the results-based metrics (NET, KPI, SOR) as you can see from the changes week to week. Expected given we are ~60% through the regular season.
2) 7-3 against Quad 1 and Quad 2 teams remains incredibly strong.
3) St Mary's is playing well and moved into a Quad 1 win (NET is now 48) - that win will look even better come selection sunday in my view
4) As of today, LSU has 6 Quad 1 games left on its schedule (@MSU, Aub, @UK, Tenn, @Bama, @Florida)
5) Many others have already said this but LSU will likely be favored in next 4 games before entering their murders row where 5 out of 6 games will be against teams in top 35 of NET as of today. Entering that stretch 7-1 would give them some confidence and cushion going into that stretch.
6) ESPN Bracketology and many others projections have LSU as a 5 or 6 seed as of today.

This post was edited on 1/23/19 at 11:02 am

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Posted by iamandykeim

Baton Rouge

Member since Nov 2015

3691 posts

Posted on 1/23/19 at 11:54 am to Elleshoe

quote:
Arkansas is so close to being a quad 1 win

alabama may very well jump into quad 1 by the end of the year. they have played pretty well since we beat em

This post was edited on 1/23/19 at 11:57 am

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Posted by bfniii

Member since Nov 2005

17840 posts

Posted on 1/23/19 at 12:32 pm to BayouWolf

quote:
LSU has 6 Quad 1 games left on its schedule (@MSU, Aub, @UK, Tenn, @Bama, @Florida

auburn looks like they've fallen back to the pack. they did fight back against uk but, i think some of that was uk packing it in since they were up by 16 and cruising.

state just isn't quite as good as they were supposed to be. they have the roster but, they just haven't been as sharp on either end of the floor as expected.

ky is ky. they are putting it together and despite being a huge will wade fan, that's pretty much a loss. no shame in that

as stated in another thead, i think lsu takes tenn. lsu matches up well with them individually. tenn does have the advantage in experience which might make the difference but i think lsu is up for that game.

bama is still a solid team. really played tenn tough. beat a well coached ole miss team. they won't be easy to beat there and the home win will end up looking good on the resume

fla is good, not great. obviously good on defense. there's not much going on other than that. their roster just isn't scary right now.

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