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re: Auburn Program in a decline

Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:15 am to
Posted by Rollie Fingers
Poster Emeritus
Member since Feb 2008
7427 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:15 am to
quote:

They WILL take Auburn's place as the other top program in the West.


They are going to have to earn this on the field before I agree with you. Until then Auburn is superior.
Posted by TGK4LSU
Lafayette
Member since Oct 2005
2708 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Auburn has never had the state pull the way Bama does. Auburn relies heavily on Georgia and Florida talent for its program. Auburn will never recruit the way UF, LSU, UGA, and Bama are capable of recruiting. However, Tubbs can flat out coach and they will find players to fit their needs. I do not see them falling off the map but Bama will be the better program in 2-3 years unless old Satan bolts again. Then again Bama has shown a propensity to do things illegally so who knows.


Good Post. I think Alabama will replace Auburn as the other SEC west superpower. Auburn will still be good, but recruiting will suffer while Saban is at Alabama. Auburn has benefited from Alabama's problems over the last ten years.
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32968 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:20 am to
"They are going to have to earn this on the field before I agree with you. Until then Auburn is superior."

I will agree with you there, I guess. At least right now. I just think that trends certainly support LSU and Bama being the top two programs in the West because of vastly superior talent levels. Remember, last year was arguably our weakest in recruiting in the last 5 years and it was STILL better than Auburn's. Bama will be looking at another top 5 class this year, as well. In two years, Bama's roster will look like ours, if not better. I just don't think Auburn will keep up over time.
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32968 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:20 am to
Sorry for the double post.
This post was edited on 9/19/08 at 11:22 am
Posted by Tiger In Dawg Country
Atlanta, Georgia
Member since Sep 2008
1259 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:22 am to
quote:

auburn has had a serious decline in talent recently and it only appears to be getting worse with their current recruiting class


Since I started really keeping up with recruiting, Auburn always seemed to range in the 11-25 rank. With that "bad" recruiting he has been doing, he has played us the toughest of any opponent. Year in, year out, the Auburn game is a "white knuckle" experience. I don't think AU is going anywhere. It's all cyclical. They may go down for awhile but you better believe they'll come back.
Posted by Dubaitiger
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Member since Nov 2005
5199 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:31 am to
Auburn will get enough good players to compete. They have won 7 of the past 8 against Bama. Let bama get over them before we crown them better
Posted by Tiger In Dawg Country
Atlanta, Georgia
Member since Sep 2008
1259 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:31 am to
Oh and another thing, AU's lifetime win total is close to ours. I grew up in the 80's and AU was always in the top 10. I don't believe Bama will overtake them because of the suffocating control the boosters have on that program. They will always have a coaching carousel.
Posted by LegalTiger
Member since Nov 2006
1098 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

NJReb


quote:

LSU would have the same problem if it had a legitimate in-state competitor, the way the Mississippi...schools do.....


Ole Miss hasn't been a contender (save 2003) since the early 60s. Since then, Mississippi State has been legit for maybe 10 of the last 40 years, but yet in that time frame, you have been relevant only one year. It's obviously not the struggle of having a legitimate in-state contender that has enshrined the mediocrity that is a hallmark of Ole Miss football.
Posted by TulaneTigerFan
Seattle
Member since Sep 2005
35856 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 12:09 pm to
quote:


Since I started really keeping up with recruiting, Auburn always seemed to range in the 11-25 rank. With that "bad" recruiting he has been doing, he has played us the toughest of any opponent. Year in, year out, the Auburn game is a "white knuckle" experience. I don't think AU is going anywhere. It's all cyclical. They may go down for awhile but you better believe they'll come back.


people keep saying this, but their talent level has obviously declined regardless of rivals rankings. where are their offensive playmakers now? they have been in a period of decline since they lost the campbell/caddy/brown trio and it seems to get worse yearly. they don't have one player on that offense that's capable of breaking a game open even like kenny irons was
This post was edited on 9/19/08 at 12:13 pm
Posted by The312
I Live in The Three One Two
Member since Aug 2008
6967 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 12:11 pm to
Here is a more detailed examination of Auburn recruiting:

LINK
Posted by NJReb
Member since Dec 2005
3649 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Their one "bad" year (last year's) still got them ranked #20 and they are currently ranked #15.


They are currently ranked 15th, BUT they already have 22 commits.....which means the class is nearly full. When other schools start to fill out their classes, that ranking will most likely drop considerably--probably outside the top 20, unless they have some really big late coups.....
Posted by NJReb
Member since Dec 2005
3649 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

It's obviously not the struggle of having a legitimate in-state contender that has enshrined the mediocrity that is a hallmark of Ole Miss football


I didn't say it was the ONLY reason, but until some coach manages to establish a dominant recruiting position in the state like Vaught did, nothing will change.

Orgeron was hired on the theory that he could break the recruiting logjam--which he almost did; the only problem was that he was an idiot as a coach, so he lost credibility with prospects quickly and therefore was not able to recruit us out of our mess.

Hiring Nutt basically constitutes going to the opposite extreme. He can coach, but can't recruit, so we will probably have a few good seasons and then fall off again.

If Ole Miss ever found a coach who was the whole package and could both establish a dominant recruiting position in the state AND coach well, then it could take the other steps that would come with winning, like building a bigger stadium.

Some of you seem to have short memories: LSU was drowning in mediocrity for nearly a quarter of a century until Saban came along.....but he at least had the built-in advantage of not having in-state competition to deal with in turning things around....

It is much easier said than done to fix a program that has not been successful for a long time--ESPECIALLY when you have in-state competition in the same conference. It can be done, but it takes a very special, committed coach to do that....
Posted by danfraz
San Antonio TX
Member since Apr 2008
24550 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 1:18 pm to
Let's see how the finish this year out and re-address then. I somewhat think they are close to a decline but one game does not make or break a season....unless you lose to ULM
Posted by metafour
Member since Feb 2007
4378 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

They are currently ranked 15th, BUT they already have 22 commits.....which means the class is nearly full. When other schools start to fill out their classes, that ranking will most likely drop considerably--probably outside the top 20, unless they have some really big late coups.....


We also have 3 JUCO commits who are currently unranked and will all be 4+ stars (with at least one being a 5-star IMO) and several current commits who I would be shocked if they aren't upgraded by the end of the year. McCallebb the RB we signed last year is tearing it up at Hargrave, add a few more uncommitted guys like Montez Robinson, Johnnie Farms, etc....the class will finish no lower than Top 20, and if it does then whoever is doing the rating has no idea.

Tuberville and company are simply too good at evaluating talent, I'm sorry. Your typical Auburn "mid tier" recruiting class ends up containing several lightly recruited players that end up playing at All SEC levels, that is a given. All this talk of recruiting rankings...look at who the best players at Auburn are, our success rate with the highly rated recruits isn't even that good...instead its guys like Sen'Derrick Marks, Antonio Coleman, Zac Etheridge, that turn out every year.
Posted by ehidal1
Chief Boot Knocka
Member since Dec 2007
37322 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 2:34 pm to
You can't argue the way Auburn puts these 'mid-level' recruits in the NFL. There is a good story about Marks in the Advocate today and this is a perfect example. TT can flat out develop guys.
Posted by Bama4371
Member since Dec 2006
199 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 2:45 pm to
You guys better worry about your own gaps at QB!!!!!!!!! With Beckwith I like ya'll, without I like the Barn.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
62040 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

Since it's clear that Auburn's program is going down faster than a sinking ship




Posted by Tigerwaffe
Orlando
Member since Sep 2007
4975 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 2:51 pm to
We're going to have to play a great game tomorrow to win. Auburn has faced tougher competition than us, they may have Lester and Burns to go along with Tate, they have a great defense, they're playing at home and they want to avenge last year's last second humiliation. I imagine they can't wait to get on the field against our inexperienced QBs. So whether or not the program is in decline over the long-term (I ain't seeing it), the fact remains: tomrrow's going to be a war and a 3-TD LSU win is highly unlikely.

17-13 LSU. Herm, Ciron, Scottie, RD—take over the game and punish the Chickens. Beat the tar out of 'em.
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32968 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 2:55 pm to
"Some of you seem to have short memories: LSU was drowning in mediocrity for nearly a quarter of a century until Saban came along.....but he at least had the built-in advantage of not having in-state competition to deal with in turning things around...."

Let's cut that down to 10 years, shall we. The 90s were bad. We all know that. However, if you consider that LSU went to 2 Sugar Bowls, 2 Orange Bowls, and had 3 SEC titles during that 25 years, is that mired in mediocrity? We have been better since Saban arrived, but a lot of teams would kill to have the previous accomplishments. No offense, but no championships for 40+ years is what I would consider mired in mediocrity.
Posted by Fighting Tigers
Member since Aug 2008
2167 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 2:59 pm to
There is a decent chance Auburn's program will decline in future years. Hopefully LSU can put an arse whipping on them like we did to Miami, VT, and ND, so we can claim that we were the ones that ruined Auburn's program.

Regardless of who wins this weekend, I'll be impressed with Tuberville if Auburn's program doesn't struggle more and more in upcoming years, now that you have Saban at Bama and Petrino at Arkansas.
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