Posted by
Message
GynoSandberg
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Jan 2006
65654 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Im looking for a cornerstone 1B if anyone is selling


Lester Earl
Baylor Fan
Kamaratard
Member since Nov 2003
250411 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Damn Sandy, looking at your team that was GDCK the last 2-3 years, it looks like your championship window has slammed shut for the time being


GynoSandberg
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Jan 2006
65654 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Yap

Everything that could go wrong went wrong last season

Machado to SD - bleh
Dozier, Shaw, Wade Davis huge regression
Khrush sucking after getting hurt

Didi, Hicks, Sevy, were few of the many injuries

There is a rebound there i think


Lester Earl
Baylor Fan
Kamaratard
Member since Nov 2003
250411 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
I’m pulling for you you know that


GynoSandberg
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Jan 2006
65654 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
I got the only guys who couldnt make a jump with the new balls


Lester Earl
Baylor Fan
Kamaratard
Member since Nov 2003
250411 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
I saw that Khrush stat before/after injury. Pretty telling. He was one of your early catalyst tho


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
Chatagnier
Atlanta Braves Fan
Member since Sep 2008
6712 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Offer sent


Chatagnier
Atlanta Braves Fan
Member since Sep 2008
6712 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Excited to get home and finally watch the Braves game. Turn on the TV without knowing the score.

Image: https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/001/072/888/425.gif


OneMoreTime
SMU Fan
Florida Gulf Coast Fan
Member since Dec 2008
60260 posts
 Online 

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
I’m fully expecting the Rays to suffer the same fate tomorrow


MrWiseGuy
USA Fan
Member since Dec 2009
25285 posts
 Online 

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Juan Soto is who everyone wanted Bryce Harper to be


Lester Earl
Baylor Fan
Kamaratard
Member since Nov 2003
250411 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
I really hate these balls. Lol at that ball Howie hit getting out of the park


GynoSandberg
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Jan 2006
65654 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
He crushed that. Kendrick is a low key unit


Lester Earl
Baylor Fan
Kamaratard
Member since Nov 2003
250411 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Hit hard no doubt but that type of trajectory doesn’t get out of that park like that


OneMoreTime
SMU Fan
Florida Gulf Coast Fan
Member since Dec 2008
60260 posts
 Online 

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
A lot of people think that they’ve changed the balls back for the postseason. The drag on the baseball has jumped way up.

LINK

Image: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/dragbyweek-1024x1022.png
quote:

And as air resistance increased, some of the most home run-happy offenses of 2019 have combined to produce a playoff dinger rate 10 percent lower than the league average. Another way to tell how big of an impact the ball is having is to look at how often hitters are mashing the ball only to find their deep flies dying before the fence. I built a model to predict the probability of each home run hit in 2019 using exit velocity, launch angle, and a park effect. Then I examined how many times batters hit what looked like sure home runs that dropped for outs instead.

In total, this model predicted that there should have been 24 more home runs so far in the playoffs than the 43 that were actually hit–an astounding 50 percent difference. For example, Muncy’s monster blast had a 95 percent probability of clearing the fence based on the regular season baseball. Instead, it fell several feet short. Two other fly balls had in excess of a 98 percent chance of being home runs before becoming outs instead.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
swamie
Clemson Fan
Where opportunity meets hard work
Member since Jan 2007
26907 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
quote:

Hit hard no doubt but that type of trajectory doesn’t get out of that park like that


Let's check statcast!


quote:

Howie Kendrick off RHP Joe Kelly - 105.0 mph, 24.88 degrees (410 ft Home Run)



Image: https://i.imgur.com/WLaMxs2.jpg width = 700



66 out of 71 similar balls in play this year were home runs = 93%

18 HR traveled less distance that Kendrick's 410 ft HR. 5 of them to CF.


This post was edited on 10/10 at 11:35 am


swamie
Clemson Fan
Where opportunity meets hard work
Member since Jan 2007
26907 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
There were 3 HR hit in Dodger stadium this year with almost the exact speed, angle and location.

That ball doesn't get out in 4 maybe 5 parks. One of the chart's doubles and one of the triples were hit in those parks. Coors and Comerica.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
Lester Earl
Baylor Fan
Kamaratard
Member since Nov 2003
250411 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
Key words: this year


swamie
Clemson Fan
Where opportunity meets hard work
Member since Jan 2007
26907 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
wut?



quote:

66 out of 71 similar balls in play this year were home runs = 93%


Lester Earl
Baylor Fan
Kamaratard
Member since Nov 2003
250411 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
The data for the whole year is skewed because of the balls

Wut are you wutting


swamie
Clemson Fan
Where opportunity meets hard work
Member since Jan 2007
26907 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - LFG
This originally

quote:

Hit hard no doubt but that type of trajectory doesn’t get out of that park like that



Now this too I guess


quote:

The data for the whole year is skewed because of the balls


Using same launch angle and exit velocity metrics

2018 HR = 64/72 = 91.6%

2019 HR = 66/71 = 92.9%


What other excuse you want to make for not understanding launch speed angles and HR correlations?

This post was edited on 10/10 at 11:54 am


Jump to page
Page 1 2 3 4 5 ... 73
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 3 of 73next pagelast page

Back to top

logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram