Election night lessons learned. Boy was I wrong about New Hampshire.

New Hampshire did not have the portending tea leaves that I thought it would. The early vote came in and Kamala was leading NH by 8-9 points. With those numbers coming in I felt the doom creeping in.

Before the election I said if Trump is 2-4 points behind Kamala in NH Trump should cruise to victory. I was not the only one that made this claim. Pollster Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar said look to NH's early returns to get a sense of of where the race is going.

The early returns in NH was a head fake but the 2-4 points behind Kamala theory still holds, minus the timing. Currently with 92% reporting Trump is behind Kamala 3% points.