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You guys know the most accurate poll in '08 & '12 has Trump +2.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:34 am
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:34 am
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:36 am to GumboPot
If IBD is close to accurate they're going to be in the pollster HOF
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:40 am to GumboPot
The problem with that poll this year is that it is live telephone call only. Not sure that is the best or most accurate method any more. Times change and things change a lot in 4 years. It would certainly be huge if it is right but it is a big outlier at the moment.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:50 am to BigB0882
quote:
The problem with that poll this year is that it is live telephone call only. Not sure that is the best or most accurate method any more.
You may be right however if they get their demo correct and or weight for their demo accurately it shouldn't matter how the data is acquired.
We'll see.
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