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You guys know the most accurate poll in '08 & '12 has Trump +2.

Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:34 am
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:34 am
SIAP.



LINK
Posted by bnb9433
Member since Jan 2015
14831 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:36 am to
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87349 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:36 am to
If IBD is close to accurate they're going to be in the pollster HOF

Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:40 am to
The problem with that poll this year is that it is live telephone call only. Not sure that is the best or most accurate method any more. Times change and things change a lot in 4 years. It would certainly be huge if it is right but it is a big outlier at the moment.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 9:50 am to
quote:

The problem with that poll this year is that it is live telephone call only. Not sure that is the best or most accurate method any more.


You may be right however if they get their demo correct and or weight for their demo accurately it shouldn't matter how the data is acquired.

We'll see.
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