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re: 3-8 Nebraska is 3.5 pt favorite over #17 9-2 Iowa?
Posted on 11/22/21 at 1:08 pm to PeteRose
Posted on 11/22/21 at 1:08 pm to PeteRose
quote:
This line stinks more than unranked UNC -2.5 vs #8 8-0 wake forest a few weeks ago.
UNC covered that line. I wouldn't be surprised if Nebraska covers this one too. These teams are very evenly matched but Iowa had a ridiculous, unsustainable turnover margin early in the season that has started to correct itself as the season has gone along.
1
Posted on 11/22/21 at 1:22 pm to VADawg
quote:
These teams are very evenly matched but Iowa had a ridiculous, unsustainable turnover margin early in the season that has started to correct itself as the season has gone along.
This is a huge point. I think they're still top 5 in that stat, even with the natural correction. Meanwhile, Nebraska is ranked in the 90s in regards to turnover margin. Iowa is also one of the least penalized teams in the nation.
I think Nebraska is probably the more talented team, but I wouldn't put it past them to find a new and unusual way to gag away a close game.
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