re: New Storm Track has moved South!

Changing conditions always flex the 5 day quite a bit. Watch the NHC's 3 day and the GFDL, not for accuracy even 6 or 7 days out, but for trends. GFDL was pretty good 5 day out (and even earlier, but there was some fluctuation) for Gustav. I'm relatively confident that while we (Louisiana) get the bad side of the storm, but only the Cameron Parish/Calcasieu area really has worries about a direct hit/near miss.