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re: How bad are we thinking the crash will be?
Posted on 2/25/21 at 10:01 pm to GeneralLee
Posted on 2/25/21 at 10:01 pm to GeneralLee
We’re at @1.6% on the 10 year note currently which is 50 basis points higher than it was just a month ago. This is a fast rise and that is a concern.
Also, Today, the 10 year yield exceeded the dividend yield of the S&P 500. A significant mark.
Just 3 years ago, The 10 year note was 3% so we’re
Well off of that.
As the yield increases, we’re going to see stocks run into selling pressure with the biggest gains most vulnerable.
If we hit anywhere near the 3% mark again, I’d expect a correction of plus 20% as retirement money flows to the safer alternative to equities. Not an entirely bad thing really.
I’d be looking into value stocks in this environment
Also, Today, the 10 year yield exceeded the dividend yield of the S&P 500. A significant mark.
Just 3 years ago, The 10 year note was 3% so we’re
Well off of that.
As the yield increases, we’re going to see stocks run into selling pressure with the biggest gains most vulnerable.
If we hit anywhere near the 3% mark again, I’d expect a correction of plus 20% as retirement money flows to the safer alternative to equities. Not an entirely bad thing really.
I’d be looking into value stocks in this environment
This post was edited on 2/26/21 at 7:02 am
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