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re: How bad are we thinking the crash will be?

Posted on 2/25/21 at 10:01 pm to
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10649 posts
Posted on 2/25/21 at 10:01 pm to
We’re at @1.6% on the 10 year note currently which is 50 basis points higher than it was just a month ago. This is a fast rise and that is a concern.
Also, Today, the 10 year yield exceeded the dividend yield of the S&P 500. A significant mark.

Just 3 years ago, The 10 year note was 3% so we’re
Well off of that.

As the yield increases, we’re going to see stocks run into selling pressure with the biggest gains most vulnerable.

If we hit anywhere near the 3% mark again, I’d expect a correction of plus 20% as retirement money flows to the safer alternative to equities. Not an entirely bad thing really.

I’d be looking into value stocks in this environment
This post was edited on 2/26/21 at 7:02 am
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