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re: Lonzo Ball is now at 40% from 3. Check in here to eat crow. I am.
Posted on 2/23/21 at 5:09 pm to Lester Earl
Posted on 2/23/21 at 5:09 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
If the general average % on 3pters league wide is 35-36%, I would think 35% on contested threes is much higher than league average, there for much better than "not that bad".
Like I said, not bad by any means, but also an incredibly small sample size that really isn't trustworthy for me. If it is for you, by all means, I'm not gonna stop you.
But for me its the equivalent of trusting Tristan Thompson is now a reliable stretch big because he has a 39% three-point rate on 9-23 over the last two seasons. Or Hassan is a three-point threat because he is 4-8 over two seasons.
Logic steps in and tells me that if all-time greats like Redick see a downtick when defenses more tightly contest, Lonzo is probably going to as well, and with it, his percentages will drop a bit.
1
Posted on 2/23/21 at 5:20 pm to Bronc
Not even sure why you are trying to compare Ball to a movement shooter like Redick. Redick was on his way out of the league at 23. He wasn't the deadly movement shooter you know today until later in his career.
As long as Ball continues to play well, the team isn't going to let him walk. Even if he's not in the long term plans, his value is ascending and will be an asset regardless of what his contract looks like. His contract will be part production and part potential. Do we know what it looks like now? Absolutely not, he has yet to plateau and there's a lot of games to evaluate him. Nothing is black and white at this time.
As long as Ball continues to play well, the team isn't going to let him walk. Even if he's not in the long term plans, his value is ascending and will be an asset regardless of what his contract looks like. His contract will be part production and part potential. Do we know what it looks like now? Absolutely not, he has yet to plateau and there's a lot of games to evaluate him. Nothing is black and white at this time.
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