re: Post your election prediction W/ electoral college numbers

Here goes:

Turnout will be sky high - that's the thing we know with absolute certainty. I continue to maintain that it's not clear that that is a net positive for Trump this time around.

I think there are ~10 states that legit could go either way. Here's my prediction on those:

NE 2nd: Biden
NV: Biden
WI: Biden
VA: Biden
NH: Biden
MI: Biden
MN: Biden

OH: Trump
FL: Trump
IA: Trump
TX: Trump
ME 2nd: Trump

AZ: probably Trump?
NC: probably Trump?

GA and PA: too gottdamned close to say

Trump would need to win all 4 of those last 4 AND win OH, FL, TX AND IA (no exceptions.) That seems REALLY HARD to me.

WHAT TO HAVE YOUR EYES PEELED FOR TOMORROW NIGHT:

If Sleepy Joe is looking good in GA or FL, then turn out the lights, the race will essentially be over (even if it takes awhile to actually be announced.)

If Biden surprises in TX, it's over right then and there.

If Trump looks good in PA and shows strength in one of those Biden states, he might have a chance - but it will be at least a week before we know.

FINAL PREDICTION: Trump misses by just a state or two, but he missed.

2nd FINAL PREDICTION: The Senate will go whichever way the POTUS goes.