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re: 239,822 African American voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia.

Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:42 pm to
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:42 pm to
This is pretty misleading.

It compares “already voted” AA metrics to “vote total” uneducated whites metrics in a covid 19 era.

I would expect AAs over the age of 65 to have voted more by now as they are a high risk demo and are voting early. Their total may not go up much on Election Day. Granted, their total is up entirely versus 2016.

However, the tweet declines to tell us how “lagging behind 440k the 2016 total” compares to early voting for uneducated whites. For all we know, it may be up insanely high from 2016.

Roughly 1.6m uneducated whites voted in Georgia in 2016. If they’re off 440k from their total, that means 1.1-1.2m have already voted in a demographic that typically shows up heavily on Election Day.

I can’t find any data describing just how much of that particular demographic shows up on Election Day, but I’d imagine they’ll make up ground.
Posted by BoarEd
The Hills
Member since Oct 2015
38862 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

Roughly 1.6m uneducated whites voted in Georgia in 2016. If they’re off 440k from their total, that means 1.1-1.2m have already voted in a demographic that typically shows up heavily on Election Day.


Exactly. We are going to see record turnout in every demographic. And full participation favors Trump.
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