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re: Sensing a little bit of unease from Nate Silver today
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:53 pm to SlowFlowPro
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:53 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:Another fricked aspect of this all.
however, we're back again...with...mirrored polling to 2016. if Nate were this robot "just entering data" then he'd have to account for this. he has...just not in the data and modeling he presents (he saves it for words on his podcast where he basically admits he knows the polls are bullshite but throws up his hands and goes "oh well" while giving Biden higher odds than he admits he should)
1
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:55 pm to Scruffy
i listen to the 538 podcast a lot 
time has melted together for me since Laura but i think a few weeks ago they had a conversation about what a trump win does to polling and they got into this all. this was back when biden was WAY up with some crazy projections (like that NBC poll)
time has melted together for me since Laura but i think a few weeks ago they had a conversation about what a trump win does to polling and they got into this all. this was back when biden was WAY up with some crazy projections (like that NBC poll)
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