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re: If early vote total is accurate, this is the map as of today:
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:27 am to GeneralLee
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:27 am to GeneralLee
quote:
If early vote total is accurate
What state has released voting results?
I am pretty sure that there have been precisely 0 ballots officially counted and reported.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:29 am to Indefatigable
quote:
What state has released voting results?
This would be based off of TargetSmart data which is admittedly an estimation, not actual data. I think the only swing states that report actual early votes by party are AZ, FL, and NC.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:32 am to Indefatigable
quote:
I am pretty sure that there have been precisely 0 ballots officially counted and reported.
No votes are counted per candidate until eleciton day.
However many states release early voting statistics that people try to read tea leaves from.
You can see turnout for Republicans/Democrats/Independents (in states hat actually make people register as such), you can see turnout in various areas, turnouts by age or race, etc.
It's fancy guess work because you still have no idea how those people are voting. For example you could have significantly more Dems crossing over to Republicans than vice versa or something.
another danger is that Democrat voters tend to vote early more and Republicans like to vote on actual election day more, so just because the early totals indicate one thing, doesn't mean they'll stay there.
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