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re: What's the end game for hurricane tracking/projections?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:21 am to TomSpanks
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:21 am to TomSpanks
A computer can only crunch known data and make predictions off of unknown data. Weather especially hurricanes potentially has 1000s of variables, I really don't know.
No one wants to admit it, but hurricane projections are already pretty damn accurate. Outside of Sally they've been very accurate for the most part. Sally wouldn't have been nearly as bad if it didn't stall and go so slow.
I'm sure they will get more accurate, its not realistic to expect us to get worse...but I just don't think its ever realistic to have under say a 50-100 mile error.
No one wants to admit it, but hurricane projections are already pretty damn accurate. Outside of Sally they've been very accurate for the most part. Sally wouldn't have been nearly as bad if it didn't stall and go so slow.
I'm sure they will get more accurate, its not realistic to expect us to get worse...but I just don't think its ever realistic to have under say a 50-100 mile error.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:22 am to baldona
As we learn more, get more data, and technology improves, yes...they will get more accurate.
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