re: What's the end game for hurricane tracking/projections?

Hurricane Forecasting Accuracy

quote:

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Despite all the technology, weather prediction today, including hurricane forecasting, is no better than it was in the 1970s. Sometimes they’re spot on, other times they are as off as can be. Same then, same now.

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Well, that is incorrect. Forecasting has gotten better, but you can still see the error at even 48 hours is not approaching 20 miles very quickly. A chart at 7 days out would be considerably worse.