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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:14 pm to CaptainJ47
Posted on 8/25/20 at 5:14 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
Where can I become informed about the ridge itself? I can see the track of the storm but is there a way to compare the current ridge to prior model projections to confirm it is moving as intended?
Good luck on that crash course.
Model guidance has just now, read today, caught up on the placement and strength of the ridge. With more observations from soundings launched across the southeast, models now have the ridge closer to its actual location. Drastic shifts west, from here on out, are not likely. Also, drastic shifts east are not that likely due to the ridges. What the NHC has is likely pretty close. There will be wobbles in the storm itself as it changes structure, but they will likely just be wobbles.
The point being Laura is likely to have a large eye at landfall, and that large eye wall will impact a large area. Anywhere near that landfall will see major hurricane impacts including storm surge and high winds. In the grand scheme of things, with this storm, "slight" shifts east or west won't matter a whole lot. Impacts will be dangerous all around it.
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