re: According to the Keys to the White House, Trump will lose.

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quote:
Party Mandate


Exactly how does he NOT have this?

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According to his "Key Criteria":

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.

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incumbent charisma


Don't know enough about this to know if this means something else, but Trump has charisma is spades - especially in comparison to Creepy Joe.

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This one seemed like the most subjective one of the bunch, but he explains it as having broad support among the entire country, not just his core base. Neither Trump or Biden have this.