AZ, PA, WI, MI, NH, NC, FL

This is where the election will be won. Arizona is a must win for Trump though. McSally is awful, she’s going to lose by > 5%. That’s how many crossover votes Trumps going to need.

This post was edited on 4/14/20 at 5:23 pm

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Posted by Indefatigable

Member since Jan 2019

27464 posts

Posted on 4/14/20 at 5:23 pm to TOKEN

quote:
Arizona is a must win for Trump though.

No it isn’t. You just listed 7 states. Within your own post, assuming the other 43 states go as they did in 2016, Trump would win easily without Arizona.

This post was edited on 4/14/20 at 5:24 pm

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Posted by Pooturd

Knoxville

Member since Mar 2020

1258 posts

Posted on 4/14/20 at 5:30 pm to TOKEN

quote:
AZ, PA, WI, MI, NH, NC, FL

For what it's worth, I've read from a few different sources FL and NC are looking pretty good for us. You didn't list them here but Ohio and Iowa should be solidly red as well. PA, WI, and MI are the scariest for me personally. I think it'll come down to motivated Trump supporters vs people who sat out in 2016 thinking Trump had no chance and then saw him win those states by very slim margins. Still, I'd have to think he keeps at least one of those in the red column. I can see NH going red but it likely won't make a difference either way. Minnesota I believe is very much in play also and would cancel out the loss of Arizona, god forbid.

AZ is scary too. The liberal wet dream is for Texas to flip, but even if immigration continues unabated there it'll be several election cycles before it's even close. Arizona though has been getting tighter each year and Trump absolutely can not afford to overlook it.

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