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Message
re: O/U 25,000 COVID-19 deaths in the US.
Posted on 4/14/20 at 4:08 pm to Gaston
Posted on 4/14/20 at 4:08 pm to Gaston
Ain't gonna lie, I didn't (still dont) think it was that bad...I still called 50k Americans, and that was knowing they inflated the actual #s
...
Real number was likely 70% of reported at best.
Every year roughly 500k Americans are in poor enough health to get caught by a virus and not survive. I figure if the flu ran it's course fully and CV did as well, the combined might get the weak side of the herd.
60-70k from flu 40-50k from CV seemed average...
Right now I'm going with the over, only because the bug MIGHT get to the weak side of the herd by late summer...
But I don't think it's much more than 25k.
...
Real number was likely 70% of reported at best.
Every year roughly 500k Americans are in poor enough health to get caught by a virus and not survive. I figure if the flu ran it's course fully and CV did as well, the combined might get the weak side of the herd.
60-70k from flu 40-50k from CV seemed average...
Right now I'm going with the over, only because the bug MIGHT get to the weak side of the herd by late summer...
But I don't think it's much more than 25k.
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