re: Local ER doc (South LA) here to answer your COVID-19 questions

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They. Aren’t. Healthy.

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Some are and the numbers (which what matters!!!), the numbers of admits are a strain right now. And if you reopen everything too quickly which was the argument in the other thread then you exponentially increase that strain.

We are adding hundreds of patients that are 18-49 into our hospitals which are typically not accounted for. If you open everything back up, that number jumps.

The argument that only the elderly are straining the system is false. You are wrong. They may be placing the most strain on the system but other demographic admissions have dramatically increased as well.

The idea that you can quarantine just the old and at-risk and not strain the system is wrong. We are quarantining 90% of society now and it is still straining it. If you allow this demographic out too early then you not only increase their hospitalization rates, you also increase transmission to the elderly and at-risk.

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Your studies are just about an age range. They don’t factor in obesity and other health issues.

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They are looking at increased hospitalization rates in a demographic which is exactly what we are discussing.

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And the “rate” is low as frick in terms of the total number of sicknesses in that age range. I already have a post explaining why the 20% number is foolish to focus on and doesn’t tell the whole story.

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All your points are completely ridiculous because you discount a whole set of numbers and unilaterally declare them irrelevant.

Do you honestly believe that you know more than the people running these systems? You know more than what the CDC is seeing and reporting on?

It's an incredible level of arrogance. For weeks, everything you've said about this pandemic has been wrong and now you sit here, with a complete lack of ability to understand statistical models, declaring what should be considered and what should not.