re: US Chinese Virus Tracker - 466,299 Cases, 16,686 Deaths, 26,104 Recovered (4/10/2020)

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Right.

That is possible. Anticipation is we will see far fewer cases though.

That gets at effective contagiousness for CV vs flu. Initial calculations of CV contagiousness (R0) were based on spread of symptomatic cases. Early on, asymptomatic transmission was severely underestimated. So R0 assumptions were/are inflated.

I'd be surprised if we don't see significant reworking of CV R0 values.

Meanwhile, the presumption is testing, isolation, and control can limit case numbers to fewer than typify flu outbreaks.

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I tend to agree with this assessment, though those CFR and R0 numbers are going to be dependent on people getting tested, something the CDC has botched so far.