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re: US Chinese Virus Tracker - 466,299 Cases, 16,686 Deaths, 26,104 Recovered (4/10/2020)

Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:55 am to
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
56540 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 5:55 am to
quote:

But even if only a third of the country gets it, that's 2.33 million dead. Think we're going to institute the sort of societal measures here to make the number of infected plateau like it has in China?


Only a third of the country?

For comparison h1n1 the swine flu, infected 60 million Americans. Some 40 million short of 1/3 of the country. Maybe covid 19 will be worse than swine flu, maybe not. It may have a higher death rate but I would be shocked if it infects 1/3 of the country.
Posted by Srobi14
South Florida
Member since Aug 2014
3541 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 9:54 am to
quote:

I would be shocked if it infects 1/3 of the country.


This Harvard epidemiologist disagrees. brief interview What do the models you've made say?
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