re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Louisiana's early outbreak was largely in NOLA and a few other urban centers. The current spike is being driven by rural areas. It's running wild in my parish. We had an increase of 27 overnight in a parish of just over 14000. I personally know of more than 10 people who have had it or currently have it, fortunately most are doing relatively ok. We're at a little over 3% of the population confirmed infected, so assuming there are 5x asymptomatic and untested, we should be approaching the 20% level shortly. We'll see if Nate Silver knows what he's talking about with the 20% herd immunity hypothesis. Hopefully he's right.