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Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:18 am to S1C EM
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:18 am to S1C EM
quote:
When are you proposing that it will slow? Countries have been dealing with outbreaks in the winter. We're also seeing outbreaks now in humid, summer weather. Which one is supposed to affect it?
How are you not getting this? Both...Warm temperatures seem to have help set if off in the South, whereas cooler temperatures seems to have help drive it in the North.
When appropriate herd immunity thresholds are reached, or when the mythical, safe and effective, vaccine arrives.
Immunity is also likely helping those areas hit hardest at the beginning...which wasn't areas in the South.
Check out Hawaii...strict lockdown and mask use. Tiny initial outbreak...now spiking. What changed? What's happening in a location at a similar latitude in Hong Kong? The Philippines? Japan?
Just because it's behaving differently than what we'd expect when it comes to season, doesn't mean it's not seasonally driven.
This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 10:26 am
2
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:25 am to Sasquatch Smash
quote:
How are you not getting this? Both...Warm temperatures seem to have help set if off in the South, whereas cooler temperatures seems to have help drive it in the North.
Louisiana and Georgia both had bad outbreaks early on. People social distanced, stores were closed, it slowed down. Places started opening up in late April and as people got more comfortable going out and more places opened (and we had riots and protests), cases started to jump again.
You're telling me that cold weather drives it in one region while warm weather drives it in another?
What other virus operates that way? People in different areas of our country have responded differently and have been under different restrictions at different times which is far more likely to explain what you're seeing than the weather. This post was edited on 8/12/20 at 10:35 am
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:32 am to Sasquatch Smash
quote:
When appropriate herd immunity thresholds are reached, or when the mythical, safe and effective, vaccine arrives.
I don't think we're anywhere close to this without more evidence of the Tcell immunity. Vaccine, maybe, but who knows. There's already a huge drive by the same people not wearing masks to not take the "government vaccine", either.
quote:
Immunity is also likely helping those areas hit hardest at the beginning...which wasn't areas in the South.
We'll have a better idea about this once New York opens their schools up here shortly. I still think this has much more to do with stricter mitigation efforts in northern states.
quote:
Check out Hawaii...strict lockdown and mask use. Tiny initial outbreak...now spiking. What changed? What's happening in a location at a similar latitude in Hong Kong? The Philippines? Japan?
I'll have to look at those. Admittedly, I haven't kept up as much with them lately.
quote:
Just because it's behaving differently than what we'd expect when it comes to season
Again, it could be seasonally driven....I just don't think we have a good way to tell that yet since everyone is not operating in the same way currently on a social level; but it's still doing things differently than other similar viruses and that was the earlier question.
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