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re: Tropical Storm Karen - Low End Gulf Threat
Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:30 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:30 pm to rds dc
quote:
NHC sticks with a slow strengthening once this gets north of the Islands, which goes against the latest Euro/GFS runs. A stronger system will better be able to fend off shear induced by the ridge to the north as the system makes the westward turn.
Levi put up a video tonight that made an interesting point
if Karen ends up a bit further west when the ridge builds in... it may be in a spot where the shear is less and the atmosphere more conducive to strengthening
1
Posted on 9/23/19 at 10:37 pm to rt3
quote:
Levi put up a video tonight that made an interesting point
if Karen ends up a bit further west when the ridge builds in... it may be in a spot where the shear is less and the atmosphere more conducive to strengthening
Yea, or if the ridge builds in differently, or if Jerry is weaker/farther away, etc. My thinking hasn't really changed, let's wait and see if there is even a system for the ridge to turn westward.
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