re: TS Jerry, TS Karen & More Areas to Watch - Peak Season

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Sorry for the mini hijack

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It's actually a pretty relevant question, since a deep enough trough in the range of this potential storm would probably give it a way out from impacting us.

Unfortunately there isn't much there. GFS ensambles have a hint of a trough out near the week of the 22nd. The good news is, heights (can roughly equate to temperature) are in general falling for the area. Even with a big high pressure in place, were down in the 588 range by the middle of the month.

So, no real cold fronts. Still showing a long running SE ridge that would cause trouble for the gulf coast if a storm gets under it but it's September and the heat is slowly backing off.

Going to keep a close eye on it though, because it is relevant to the discussion in the thread. And it be nice to cool the frick off.