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re: Louisiana folks, does this Rispone guy have a shot?

Posted on 8/9/19 at 11:35 pm to
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
29016 posts
Posted on 8/9/19 at 11:35 pm to
quote:

He supports Trump. I will vote for him. I am 100% on Trump train.

That's great if he's running for a cabinet in DC, but really does nothing for Louisiana. Saying that will only get him 25% of the way.

quote:

It’s going to be close but JBE won’t win re-election.

I think you're getting your hopes way too high. The average voter doesn't know shite about politics and just knows JBE hasn't done anything to frick up Louisiana after Jindel. There won't be a runoff because he's going to get 52-55% of the vote.
This post was edited on 8/9/19 at 11:37 pm
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 8/10/19 at 12:18 am to
quote:

There won't be a runoff because he's going to get 52-55% of the vote.


There has not been one single poll that shows JBE getting 50.1% of the vote in the first round. Not a single one at all. What’s more is that he hasn’t gotten past 50 in approval rating polls in well over a year now.

JBE’s entire strategy of winning the first round took a pretty big hit this past week when Louisiana Democrats failed to clear the field for JBE during election qualifying.
Posted by Rock the Casbah
Member since Dec 2014
940 posts
Posted on 8/10/19 at 5:26 am to
quote:

The average voter doesn't know shite about politics and just knows JBE hasn't done anything to frick up


After Blanco, everyone thinks a Gov has to screw up to lose a second run. This is recency bias.

This election feels like Treen’s second run - with Comrade Honor Code playing the part of Dave Treen.
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
34046 posts
Posted on 8/10/19 at 8:25 am to
quote:

JBE hasn't done anything to frick up Louisiana after Jindel.

He did threaten to cancel LSU football
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
49151 posts
Posted on 8/10/19 at 8:48 am to
quote:

Saying that will only get him 25% of the way.
Abraham gets 0% of the way if nobody sees his ads...
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