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re: Louisiana folks, does this Rispone guy have a shot?
Posted on 8/9/19 at 11:35 pm to Load Toad
Posted on 8/9/19 at 11:35 pm to Load Toad
quote:
He supports Trump. I will vote for him. I am 100% on Trump train.
That's great if he's running for a cabinet in DC, but really does nothing for Louisiana. Saying that will only get him 25% of the way.
quote:
It’s going to be close but JBE won’t win re-election.
I think you're getting your hopes way too high. The average voter doesn't know shite about politics and just knows JBE hasn't done anything to frick up Louisiana after Jindel. There won't be a runoff because he's going to get 52-55% of the vote.
This post was edited on 8/9/19 at 11:37 pm
Posted on 8/10/19 at 12:18 am to tzimme4
quote:
There won't be a runoff because he's going to get 52-55% of the vote.
There has not been one single poll that shows JBE getting 50.1% of the vote in the first round. Not a single one at all. What’s more is that he hasn’t gotten past 50 in approval rating polls in well over a year now.
JBE’s entire strategy of winning the first round took a pretty big hit this past week when Louisiana Democrats failed to clear the field for JBE during election qualifying.
Posted on 8/10/19 at 5:26 am to tzimme4
quote:
The average voter doesn't know shite about politics and just knows JBE hasn't done anything to frick up
After Blanco, everyone thinks a Gov has to screw up to lose a second run. This is recency bias.
This election feels like Treen’s second run - with Comrade Honor Code playing the part of Dave Treen.
Posted on 8/10/19 at 8:25 am to tzimme4
quote:
JBE hasn't done anything to frick up Louisiana after Jindel.
He did threaten to cancel LSU football
Posted on 8/10/19 at 8:48 am to tzimme4
quote:Abraham gets 0% of the way if nobody sees his ads...
Saying that will only get him 25% of the way.
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