re: Way too early projections for where Burrow goes in the Draft?

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There were 2 Tua's last season. Before his knee/leg injuries, and after. Tua was at a 75% completion rate before he was injured in the Arkansas game. Also had 16 TDs and 0 INTs in those 6 games. He had some good games later, but re-injuries and new injuries kept him from maintaining his early-season form

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True and as I posted in another thread he also played better defenses in the latter half of the season and against the good ones (LSU, Miss St, UGA, Clemson) he dropped to 6 TDs/6INTs and 58% completion. So injuries probably hindered him, but he faced tougher D's as well.

I can see Burrow making a big jump with the experience around him, better talent and a better scheme, but those numbers are extremely ambitious and by opening up the offense there will be growing pains and greater risk of negative plays. Plus, no matter how confident we are in our talent, fear of game changing mistakes will likely still persist with this staff and we will still lean on a run game with some very talented RBs.