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re: Do you believe in the Fermi Paradox: The Great Filter?
Posted on 11/20/18 at 6:47 pm to foshizzle
Posted on 11/20/18 at 6:47 pm to foshizzle
quote:
But keep in mind that this is for a single tiny particle jumping a few nanometers across a barrier. For large objects (like cars) jumping meters past each other is another matter. That probability is so small that for the lifetimes of billions of universes it still isn't happening. It's greater than zero, but so incredibly tiny that we can confidently say it just won't happen.
I think I remember someone trying to calculate the odds of two similar sized objects doing this and it was something like 1 in some number with a million zero's. And to be perfectly clear for the OT that is not 1 in 1,000,000. It is 1 in that number with a million zero's behind it!
1
Posted on 11/20/18 at 7:03 pm to NOLALGD
quote:
that is not 1 in 1,000,000. It is 1 in that number with a million zero's behind it!
Pretty much.
When I was a Physics undergrad I and some of my classmates amused ourselves working this out. Basically if the particle is bigger than a subatomic particle, it ain't happening ever.
It would be less likely than winning a $1 billion Powerball lottery every year for billions of years.
But still some people will say "But yes, there's a chance!" Sigh.
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