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re: Wyoming hunting guide fatally mauled by grizzly bears
Posted on 9/19/18 at 3:06 pm to baldona
Posted on 9/19/18 at 3:06 pm to baldona
quote:
I’d bet if you took the amount of people that hike in Yellowstone to the bear attacks there, compared to the amount of people that die from cardiovascular disease your chance of getting attacked by a bear and dying while you are in Yellowstone is actually higher. Or at least very close.
There is no way you really believe this
Posted on 9/19/18 at 3:51 pm to jchamil
there have been about 100 deaths in YSNP since it opened in 1872. by far the most common cause is fatal burns suffered in various geothermal features
SOURCE
quote:
Since 1980, over 100 million people have visited Yellowstone. During this time, 38 people were injured by grizzly bears in the park. For all park visitors combined, the chances of being injured by a grizzly bear are approximately 1 in 2.7 million. The risk is significantly lower for people who don't leave developed areas or roadsides, and higher for anyone hiking in the backcountry.
Type of Recreational Activity: Risk of Grizzly Bear Attack
Remain in developed areas, roadsides, and boardwalks: 1 in 25.1 million visits
Camp in roadside campgrounds: 1 in 22.8 million overnight stays
Camp in the backcountry: 1 in 1.4 million overnight stays
Travel in the backcountry: 1 in 232,000 person travel days
All park activities combined: 1 in 2.7 million visits
quote:
Grizzly bear-inflicted injuries to humans in developed areas averaged approximately one per year during the 1930s through the 1950s, and four per year during the 1960s. Grizzly bear-caused human injuries in developed areas then decreased to one injury every two years (0.5/year) during the 1970s. Since 1980, there have been only two (0.1/year) grizzly bear-caused human injuries in developed areas, an average of approximately one every 18 years. Over the same time span, there have been 34 human injuries caused by grizzly bears in the backcountry: an average of one per year.
quote:
Since Yellowstone was established in 1872, eight people have been killed by bears in the park. More people in the park have died from drowning, burns (after falling into hot springs), and suicide than have been killed by bears. To put it in perspective, the probability of being killed by a bear in the park (8 incidents) is only slightly higher than the probability of being killed by a falling tree (6 incidents), in an avalanche (6 incidents), or being struck and killed by lightning (5 incidents).
SOURCE
Posted on 9/19/18 at 4:04 pm to jchamil
quote:
There is no way you really believe this
What are my chances as a healthy male in my 30s of dying from cardiovascular disease on a daily basis? Now if I hike in the back country, what are my chances of dying from a grizzly attack?
If you never swim in the ocean you'll never die from a shark attack and if you never play the lottery you will never win the lottery.
I'm saying you can't take statistics from a daily population of 325 million people and compare it to an activity that occurs a couple days a year in a specific area of the country.
Certainly bear attacks are very rare. But for someone doing back country hiking or elk hunting in bear country, its greatly increased.
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