re: Would you be shocked if Phil Bredesen (D) wins the TN Senate race over Marsha Blackburn?

Bredesen is a popular governor, but I don't see much traction for his campaign in SE Tennessee. Blackburn and co. have done a good job painting him as a high tax guy, against the tax cuts, and a rubber-stamp Dem.

He doesn't appeal to typical Democrat voters, eg your inner city minorities, because that counters his attempt to paint himself a moderate. I mean, he'll get the Signal Mountain liberals who literally live above their inferiors, but he's not going to get much of the working class and suburban vote here.

Nashville and Memphis may be a very different story, though.