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re: Trump Tax Windfall Going to Capex Way Faster Than Stock Buyback, largest capex in 7 years

Posted on 5/3/18 at 8:58 am to
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 5/3/18 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Bjit the initial data, i.e. this thread, suggests exactly that.

Come on man


first, we already have other data- official and comprehensive data- on monthly y/y wages and quarterly y/y investment, and they suggest ho-hum for such a yuge tax cut. (they actually suggest ho-hum for this point of a business cycle even if there weren't a tax cut!)

second, this data isn't great because as i have pointed out, it is nonrepresentative and presented in a suspiciously arbitrary fashion that doesn't take into account or even mention the relative size of each, or recent trends. but it purports to compare capex to other uses for the windfall anyway.

tbh this looks very much like a reach for comforting news, and the victorious tone of the writeup despite that makes it look sundance-quality
This post was edited on 5/3/18 at 9:01 am
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 5/3/18 at 9:03 am to
i will go ahead and unnecessarily clarify that i am not predicting that capex won't boom
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