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re: River Flooding in the Ohio Valley coming to Louisiana in mid March

Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:17 pm to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36152 posts
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:17 pm to
quote:


Maybe we should let the river change course like it is supposed to.


I'm sure Morgan City would love to see it.

There's far too much shipping and industry along the river past BR to let the river go without a significant amount of planning and time, not to mention New Orleans losing its source of fresh water and impacts up to the Baton Rouge water table. That's a lot of people that would have to end up being moved (at significant cost) or incredibly expensive infrastructure put into place to let people stay. In short, no we shouldn't let the river change its course without extensive planning for the drastic consequences it would bring SELa.



The NWS now has experimental plots forecasting river crests considering 16 day rain forecasts. Obviously 16 day forecasts are full of error, and the resulting projections shouldn't be taken as an official forecast (it has error bars to hammer that point home). Worth keeping an eye on at least.

LINK
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
73205 posts
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

In short, no we shouldn't let the river change its course without extensive planning for the drastic consequences it would bring SELa.
Extensive planning should have gone into where cities were built.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
100199 posts
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:22 pm to
#itshappening?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
43102 posts
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:22 pm to
Can you imagine the catastrophe if the river goes to the upper end of that forecast error in Baton Rouge? The levees would be over topped from Baton Rouge south through Lutcher.
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