re: Can someone please justify why Orgeron kicked the FG against ND?

quote:

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That chart you're citing says specifically it doesn't take into consideration down and distance or field position, those are two huge factors that we've discussed extensively.

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Granted, there are limitations with the chart. Regardless, the odds of winning are the same whether up by 3 or 7 with 2 minutes left. So, one would have to surmise, if the distance to score would not have a dramatic influence. Otherwise the odds would not be identical.

This assumes the sample is sufficiently large enough to be statistically accurate.