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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/3/17 at 5:40 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
91165 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

Pretty tight window on the computer models this far out. Anywhere from mouth to the Mississippi to Panama City in Florida.



Lot of disagreement on strength. So far strongest is the euro which has it roughly a possible cat 1. The rest are TD to weak TS
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5320 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 5:43 pm to
Notice this starts an East movement (NNE or NE) on the last frame of the GFS. This is completely about timing. I still feel confident this will end up hooking East early enough that it hits Florida. The layout of the Gulf works such that a turn East just a half day earlier makes a huge difference in landfall.

I will get worried if the Euro shows this same scenario but I bet the GFS gives in soon enough.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5320 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 5:46 pm to
quote:



Lot of disagreement on strength. So far strongest is the euro which has it roughly a possible cat 1. The rest are TD to weak TS


You keep saying this as if it is fact but you are wrong. 980 on the GFS is borderline Cat 2. Euro showing Cat 2 as well.
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