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re: China's Central Bank orders all financial transactions with NoKo to cease

Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:52 pm to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35255 posts
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

According to the Poli Board Trump's speech was so good it reverberated back in time and effected events over the weekend.

Couldn't be that the EO sanctions Trump announced today was a reaction to China already cutting ties on Monday. Had to be the other way around, right?
I mean there are 2 pathways of direct causation, with basically one scenario to each, and a number of possible scenarios without direct causation (e.g., independent of each other, something else causing both, mutual agreement, etc.).

So of all the possible scenarios, it’s illogical to assume that event that followers another, caused the preceding event. It’s only possible under the unsupported assumption that earlier event was based on knowledge of the subsequent event.

But that assumption is more illogical since the later event is pointless absent the earlier event occurring at some point.

In other words, the only truly consequential country for all parties is China. And the EO is a hollow threat as it pertains to China since it would be catastrophic for the entire world to enforce it against them. So it is no longer a hollow threat following their earlier announcement, but it's no longer consequential.

Given the order of events and the nature of them, this would be a textbook example of confirmation bias since so many are believing the most illogical scenario with such confidence.
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